EUR/USD: 5-0 Pattern Marks 2 Way Trading

The main focus of this week is on mostly on NFP and EUR Bid Rate decision. With the market expectation of 3 rate hikes this year by the Fed, all eyes will be on this week’s NFP numbers. The key test for the Fed is to ensure that inflation is improving and full employment is maintained. However, if NFP is bulging above 200k, then it may give incentive to hike sooner rather than later. ECB is not expected to change the rate at this point.

Technically, the EUR/USD is in downtrend but due to Yellen’s comments about possible March rate hike, investors turned to profit taking where we saw the EUR/USD spiking up on Friday profit taking. Traders need to watch possible spikes from POC buy zone 1.0555-64 ( L4, EMA 89, 5-0) and possible sell within 1.0660-80 zone (H3, ATR top, 88.6) where we can also see historical sellers. I am more inclined to sell on rallies due to higher time frame trends and EU problems with France, Italy and Netherlands but for intraday swings, two way trading is possible. Targets are camarilla pivots between these two POC zones.

EUR/USD Hour Chart

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