Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : July 04,2017

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.95; (P) 146.43; (R1) 147.20;

Upside momentum in GBP/JPY is weak with 4 hour MACD staying below signal line. But with 145.13 minor support intact, further rise is expected to 148.09/42 resistance. Decisive break there will extend whole rally from 122.36 to long term fibonacci level at 150.43 next. On the downside, below 145.13 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.22; (P) 128.58; (R1) 129.20;

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed after brief retreat. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first. We’d be aware of strong resistance between 129.16 and medium term projection level at 129.89 to bring short term topping. On the downside, below 1.2743 will bring deeper pull back to 125.80 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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