Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : December 22, 2016

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.00; (P) 145.67; (R1) 146.44;

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 148.42 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 142.98 support holds and above 148.42 will target long term fibonacci level at 150.43. As rebound from 122.36 is seen as part of a correction pattern, we’d be cautious on topping at 150.43 on first attempt. Meanwhile, considering bearish pergence condition in 4 hours MACD, break of 142.98 should confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 138.99).

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 195.86 top (2015 high) should have made a medium term bottom at 122.36 after hitting 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. Rise from there is now expected to develop into a medium term corrective pattern. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. But sustained break there will extend the rise to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.



EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.10; (P) 122.49; (R1) 122.91;

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as correcting whole down trend from 149.76 to 109.20. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.



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