Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : August 09, 2016

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.14; (P) 133.58; (R1) 134.03;

With 135.42 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected in GBP/JPY for 128.66 support. Break will extend the larger down trend from 195.86 to next projection level at 122.71. On the upside, above 135.20 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and extend the consolidation pattern from 128.86 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 195.86 medium term top is still in progress and would target 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. There is prospect of retesting 116.83 (2011 low). On the upside, break of 154.70 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.06; (P) 113.41; (R1) 113.92;

Further fall is still in favor in EUR/JPY with 114.80 minor resistance intact. Rebound from 109.20 has completed at 118.45 already. The rejection from 55 days EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Deeper fall should be seen to 109.20/110.81 support zone. Break will target next long term fibonacci level at 107.24. However, above 114.80 minor resistance will argue that the consolidation pattern from 109.20 is extending with another rise and turns bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, medium term down trend from 149.76 is still in progress and would target 76.4% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 107.24. Sustained break there will bring retest of 94.11 low. In any case, break of 121.93 resistance is needed to be the first signal of reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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