Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/USD And USD/CAD : June 19,2018

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1584; (P) 1.1604 (R1) 1.1644;..

Intraday bias in EUR?USD remains neutral as this point for some more consolidation. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 1.1509 will resume larger decline from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

EUR/USD 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3156; (P) 1.3200; (R1) 1.3246;

USD/CAD’s rally is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 1.2246 to 1.3124 from 1.2526 at 1.3404 next. On the downside, below 1.3120 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staying another rise.

USD/CAD 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, current development solidify the view of bullish trend reversal. That is fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above. This will now be the preferred case as long as 1.2526 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

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