Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/GBP And EUR/AUD : April 17,2018

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8617; (P) 0.8643; (R1) 0.8658

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remain neutral and more consolidations could be seen. Another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be well below 0.8796 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8407.

EUR/GBP H4 Chart

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5854; (P) 1.5901; (R1) 1.5953

At this point, intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral. We’d expect upside of recovery to be limited below 1.6055 minor resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.5773 will target 1.5621 support first. Decisive break there will be another indication of medium term trend reversal. However, break of 1.6059 will turn focus back to 1.6189 high instead.

EUR/AUD H4 Chart

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal is building up in EUR/AUD. Bearish pergence condition in daily MACD indicates further loss of upside momentum ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Break of 1.5621 should confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5153 and possibly below. Meanwhile, even in case of up trend resumption, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.

EUR/AUD Daily Chart

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