Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/AUD And EUR/GBP : November 27,2018

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5650; (P) 1.5676; (R1) 1.5719;

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5643 minor support suggests the corrective recovery from 1.5519 has completed at 1.5781 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.5519 low first. Firm break there will resume whole fall from 1.6357 to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. In case of another rise as consolidation from 1.5519 extends, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6357 to 1.5519 at 1.5839 to bring fall resumption eventually.


In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish pergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.5984 support turned resistance is now needed to revive the prior medium term up trend. Otherwise, further decline will be in favor even in case of strong interim rebound.


EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8831; (P) 0.8850; (R1) 0.8864;

EUR/GBP recovers after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying in range below 0.8931 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8824 minor support holds. On the upside, firm break of 0.8939 resistance will target 0.9098 resistance next. However, break of 0.8824 will now suggest completion of the rebound from 0.8655. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8655 support instead.


In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Sustained break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm that it’s in a medium term rising leg for 0.9098 and above. And for now, in case of another fall, downside will likely be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.


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