Bank Of Japan Leaves Monetary Policy Unchanged

The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting held earlier today saw the central bank leaving interest rates and its QQE purchases unchanged. The Japanese yen was seen strengthening on the back of the BoJ’s meeting. Governor Kuroda is expected to hold a press conference in a few hours.

The U.S. dollar was seen giving up its gains despite the Congress approving measures to fund the government for a period of three weeks. This comes after a brief three-day shut down. The economic calendar was sparse yesterday leaving most of the trading to the broader political developments from Washington.

Looking ahead, the UK’s public sector net borrowing data is expected to be released today followed by the ZEW economic sentiments from Germany and the Eurozone. Later in the day, the Richmond manufacturing index data will be released.

EUR/USD intra-day analysis

EUR/USD 4 Hour Chart

EUR/USD (1.2260): The EU/RUSD fell to an intraday session low of 1.2213 before the currency pair pulled back but closed bearish. Price action remains consolidating near the highs above 1.2200 and this range could be expected into this Thursday’s ECB monetary policy meeting. On the 4-hour chart, price action is seen gradually finding support across the median line. However, as long as price action fails to make a higher high, the bias remains to the downside. Watch for support at 1.2183 which could be tested in the short term. A break down below this support could signal a decline to 1.2090 – 1.2070 where the next main support level resides.

US/DJPY intra-day analysis

USD/JPY 4 Hour Chart

USD/JPY (110.80): The USD/JPY continues to consolidate near the 110.70 level of support marking a seventh day of prices trading flat near this level. The BoJ’s meeting did not offer much for the markets which is expected to keep the currency pair subdued. Currently, we expect that the resistance level near 111.00 – 110.88 will hold any gains in the short term. This exposes USD/JPY to downside risks. Price action could be seen falling to the previous lows near 110.40 region with further declines likely on a downside break out below this level.

NZD/USD intra-day analysis

NZD/USD 4 Hour Chart

NZD/USD (0.7323): The New Zealand dollar edged higher on Tuesday as price posted an intraday high of 0.7354. However, the Kiwi was seen giving up the gains rather quickly. A bearish close on the day off the intraday highs could signal an eventual decline in the coming few sessions. Support at 0.7160 remains in focus for the Kiwi dollar as we expect prices to correct back to this support level. On the 4-hour chart, the Stochastics oscillator continues to point to easing momentum which could signal a potential correction.

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